The image shows a contrast between a new solar panel on the building roof and an old houses roofs in Gyumri, Armenia

Solar power generation

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Solar power generation

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Renewable Resources and Alternative Energy
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Alternative Energy
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
15% - 20% (in IRR)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Medium Term (5–10 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
Annual renewable energy sector capacity of 4,400 - 4,900 GW.
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
USD 500,000 - USD 1 million
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Affordable and Clean Energy (SDG 7)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure (SDG 9) Sustainable Cities and Communities (SDG 11) Responsible Consumption and Production (SDG 12)

Business Model Description

Establish large-scale private solar power stations linked to the central grid of the Electrical Networks of Armenia and provide electricity at guaranteed price for revenue generation; or establish small-scale, decentralized solar power stations with up to 0.5 MW, where the station generates electricity for own use in households, businesses and communities.

Expected Impact

Promote solar energy production to increase income and resilience of SMEs and households, reduce use of fossil fuel and the country's environmental footprint, and improve its energy security.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

Explore the country and target locations of the investment opportunity.
Country
Region
  • Armenia: Gegharkunik
  • Armenia: Aragatsotn
  • Armenia: Vayots Dzor
  • Armenia: Kotayk
Learn more

Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Renewable Resources and Alternative Energy

Armenia is self-sufficient in energy generation but dependent on imported fuel (4). 85% of energy is from thermal and nuclear power plans, with negative environmental effects on soil, air and water. After closure of nuclear plants, the need for alternative energy will increase. Armenia has underutilized potential in renewable energy (4,400-4,900 GW/year) with 180 small hydropower plans (24, 25).

Energy security is a high priority in the Government agenda. Government policies promote the investment in renewable energy and energy efficiency technologies (1, 2,3). These include the Scaling-Up Renewable Energy Program (SREP) and the Law on Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, which provide a sound foundation and principles for promoting sustainable energy practices.

To promote investment in renewable energy, the Government leads a number of support programmes, including feed-in tariffs in solar energy sector and tax advantages for investment in renewable energy, including small hydropower plants, solar and wind (2, 3, 7, 27).

Sub Sector

Alternative Energy

The Government introduced feed-in tariffs for solar energy, which allows households to sell the excess electricity to the electric networks, and coupled it with subsidized financing in the subsector, which is expected to make solar energy projects feasible in Armenia in the mid-term perspective (2, 3, 7, 27).

Industry

Solar Technology and Project Developers

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Solar power generation

Business Model

Establish large-scale private solar power stations linked to the central grid of the Electrical Networks of Armenia and provide electricity at guaranteed price for revenue generation; or establish small-scale, decentralized solar power stations with up to 0.5 MW, where the station generates electricity for own use in households, businesses and communities.

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Critical IOA Unit
Describes a complementary market sizing measure exemplifying the opportunities with the IOA.

Annual renewable energy sector capacity of 4,400 - 4,900 GW.

Armenia's renewable energy sector capacity is estimated at 4,400-4,900 GW annually (24, 25, 26).

There are around 950 ha of land available under the category in the land cadaster as “objects of energy, transport, communication and utility infrastructures”, which can be used for establishing solar power stations (24, 25, 26).

Indicative Return

IRR
Describes an expected annual rate of growth of the IOA investment.

15% - 20%

An IRR of 15-18% is expected for small utility and off-grid panels of 0.5 MW, while higher capacity panels expect to generate an IRR of 14-17%. An IRR of 15% has been recorded in Masrik-1 solar power plant with 55 MW (21, 28).

For bigger size solar installations, special licenses and quotas are provided (100 MW for 2018, 50 MW for 2019) (21, 28).

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Medium Term (5–10 years)

5 MW is seen as the optimal minimal size investment with about $500,000 - 700,000 for 1 KW and a payback period of 7-10 years (21, 28).

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

USD 500,000 - USD 1 million

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Capital - CapEx Intensive

Especially larger installations have high capital requirements for solar energy.

Market - Volatile

The currently beneficial tariff for solar energy, applied since 2017, may change in the future, given the currently ongoing liberalisation of the energy market.

Market - Volatile

Foreign exchange rate fluctuations may impact the predictability and profitability of the investment.

Impact Case

Read about impact metrics and social and environmental risks of the investment opportunity.

Sustainable Development Need

Armenia depends on imported fuel to cover its electricity needs (4). 85% of energy is from thermal and nuclear power plants, with negative environmental effects on soil, air and water. After closure of nuclear plants, the need for alternative energy will increase. (24, 25).

Armenia has high potential for solar energy; the average annual solar energy output per 1 m2 of the horizontal surface is 1720 kWh/m2 and one-fourth of the country has 1850 kW/m2 of solar energy per year. Solar is a renewable energy source, with possibility to produce at varying scale - from small set-ups for household use to industrial level solar power stations (6, 8).

Gender & Marginalisation

Women and children particularly suffer from unstable electricity supply, hampering for example educational opportunities.

Expected Development Outcome

Reduced use of fossil fuel in thermal power plants and reduced radioactive waste (also addressing the high cost of its treatment) thanks to greater renewable energy application overall.

Enhanced energy security, increased share of renewable energy, and reduced environmental footprint of Armenia's energy sector through the solar installations.

Gender & Marginalisation

Increased income for rural and marginalised communities thanks to stable energy supply.

Income generation opportunities for women engaged in the production of solar energy.

Primary SDGs addressed

Affordable and Clean Energy (SDG 7)
7 - Affordable and Clean Energy

7.2.1 Renewable energy share in the total final energy consumption

Secondary SDGs addressed

9 - Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure
11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities
12 - Responsible Consumption and Production

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

Households and SMEs that establish and benefit from solar power stations.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

Women benefitting from income generation opportunities directly or indirectly created by the solar installations.

Planet

Environment thanks to reduced pollution caused by thermal power plants and nuclear power plants.

Corporates

Solar power stations generating income.

Public sector

Schools, kindergartens and hospitals with access to stable energy supply.

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

People

Consumers benefiting from better energy supply and enhanced energy security.

Corporates

Secondary firms providing services to the solar power stations, and those making use of the enhanced energy supply for productive activities.

Public sector

The Armenian economy at large thanks to greater productive opportunities created by the stable and safe energy supply of the solar installations.

Outcome Risks

Industrialization of solar power may increase the average electricity tariff since renewable energy has higher end tariffs, making it unaffordable for consumers.

Toxic materials and hazardous products are used for manufacturing solar systems, which can negatively impact on the environment when the installations are dismantled and not recycled responsibly.

Transportation and installation of solar systems can created significant levels of greenhouse gases.

Impact Risks

High capital costs for solar installations, and challenges in accessing financing, may limit the realisation of large installations, which will minimise the positive effects of the energy source.

Procedural difficulties related to allocation of land for building solar power stations may limit the realisation of solar installations.

Possible changes of the currently beneficial tariff for solar energy may discourage investors, leading to the non-realisation of installations.

Impact Classification

B—Benefit Stakeholders

What

Investment in solar energy contributes to increasing income, independence and resilience of small- and medium-firms and households; higher share of sustainable energy, and less use of fossil.

Risk

The model is proven and the technology for solar power stations is readily available and affordable.

Impact Thesis

Promote solar energy production to increase income and resilience of SMEs and households, reduce use of fossil fuel and the country's environmental footprint, and improve its energy security.

Enabling Environment

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Policy Environment

Promote solar energy production to increase income and resilience of SMEs and households, reduce use of fossil fuel and the country's environmental footprint, and improve its energy security.

To enhance the capacities in renewable energy, the Government plans to support the creation of 60 MWT capacity in the next 2 years, which is in addition to the 55 MWt PV station already set up (2).

The Government is in the process of liberalising the energy sector of Armenia, which will be completed by 2022. Solar power stations will support energy liberalization goals (29).

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: Armenia offers various financial instruments, such as green leasing, that offer below market interest rates for renewable energy production. Beneficial tariffs are applied for renewable energy producers (2, 7, 8).

Fiscal incentives: Armenia extends tax privileges for importation of materials and equipment for the renewable energy industry, which also allows for extended VAT payment times for imported products (10).

Regulatory Environment

Energy tariffs are set by the PSR Committee and beneficial tariffs are applied for electricity from renewables (solar, wind and biofuel). The tariff for solar energy is applied since 2017 (7, 27).

The Law on Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency increased the net metering limit for legal entities from 150 kWh to 500 kWh, to allow large energy consumers to execute functions of autonomous power generators to meet their own needs. The Law also improved the energy transit timetable (9).

Feed-in tariffs are applied in solar energy sector, which means that households are allowed to sell the excess electricity to electric networks (9, 27).

Industrial solar power stations with power exceeding 500 kWt are subject to licensing by the Public Services Regulation Committee (30).

Construction of a solar PV station is permitted on the land categorized in the land cadaster as “objects of energy, transport, communication and utility infrastructures” (31).

Marketplace Participants

Discover examples of public and private stakeholders active in this investment opportunity that were identified through secondary research and consultations.

Private Sector

SMEs setting up small to medium scale solar installations, such as Shtigen, Arpi and Optimum Energy. Large solar installations include Talin 2, Masrik 1 and 2, Gagarin, Dashtadem, Merdzavan with a planned 109 mWt power. PV panel producers such as Solaron (24, 25).

Government

Public Services Regulation Committee, Ministry of Territorial Administration and Infrastructure, Ministry of Environment.

Multilaterals

Several international financial institutions and multilateral banks support the promotion of renewable energy, such as the World Bank, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) and the Asian Development Bank (ABD).

Non-Profit

Renewable Energy Producers’ Association Union of Legal Entities.

Public-Private Partnership

Active partnerships, such as Vayots Sun, which is the largest solar PV station in the Vayots Dzor and is supported by international donors and financial institutions.

Target Locations

See what country regions are most suitable for the investment opportunity. All references to Kosovo shall be understood to be in the context of the Security Council Resolution 1244 (1999)
country static map
rural

Armenia: Gegharkunik

The key regions for solar power generation are Gegharkunik, Aragatsotn, Vayots Dzor and Kotayk, which have the best photovoltaic electricity output (8, 33).
rural

Armenia: Aragatsotn

The key regions for solar power generation are Gegharkunik, Aragatsotn, Vayots Dzor and Kotayk, which have the best photovoltaic electricity output (8, 33).
rural

Armenia: Vayots Dzor

The key regions for solar power generation are Gegharkunik, Aragatsotn, Vayots Dzor and Kotayk, which have the best photovoltaic electricity output (8, 33).
rural

Armenia: Kotayk

The key regions for solar power generation are Gegharkunik, Aragatsotn, Vayots Dzor and Kotayk, which have the best photovoltaic electricity output (8, 33).

References

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